As I said in my column today, sometimes it’s fun to look at the Las Vegas futures odds for the NFL season. It reveals what they, the people who care most, think about all the teams including your favorite team. Here are the odds according to Mandalay Bay as of Aug. 5.
4-1: 49ers
6-1: Patriots, Packers
7-1: Broncos
8-1: Eagles, Bears
10-1: Cowboys
12-1: Lions, Steelers, Jets
15-1: Saints, Texans
18-1: Giants, Ravens
22-1: Falcons
25-1: Chargers, Seahawks, Raiders, Redskins
30-1: Bengals, Bills, Dolphins
40-1: Chiefs, Rams
50-1: Panthers
60-1: Buccaneers
80-1: Titans, Cardinals, Browns
100-1: Vikings
150-1: Colts, Jaguars
If I was going to bet on any of these, I think the best value comes from the Ravens, Giants and Chargers. Teams I think are rated too high are the Broncos, Eagles and Dolphins.
Another cool Vegas list is the projected number of wins for each team. They predict a number and you bet whether the team will win more or fewer regular season games. Here is that list:
12 wins: Packers, Patriots
10.5: Eagles, Texans, Steelers
10: Ravens, 49ers
9.5: Falcons, Saints, Giants, Lions, Chargers, Bears
9: Broncos
8.5: Cowboys, Jets
8: Bengals, Titans, Chiefs, Bills
7.5: Seahawks, Panthers
7: Dolphins, Cardinals, Raiders
6.5: Redskins
6: Buccaneers, Rams, Vikings
5.5: Browns, Jaguars
5: Colts
These are all so spot on, but some bets I would make: Patriots over 12, Dolphins under 7, Falcons under 9.5 and Raiders over 7.
Anyway I’m not encouraging betting, but these odds lists create useful talking points.
I want to hear from you. Which teams does Vegas have wrong? What bets would you make? Please leave a comment.
